tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-339518820746425322024-03-13T13:13:41.513-04:00Near Term Stock: BUY or SELL Each entry will be VERY time sensitive and should be acted on immediately. Each stock that is highlighted has been selected by stringent screening process, Balance sheet review and close charting attention. If the stock is bought and sold according to the chart, the losses should be minimal and the gains will usually be well above average. The broad market does affect even the best stocks. Please remember that you are assuming all risk and I am not liable for your actions. Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.comBlogger77125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-68919750789003736522014-09-05T09:31:00.000-04:002014-09-05T09:31:59.378-04:00How I Pick Stocks for my Watch ListI use a stock screener that I have developed for Fidelity Investments Custom Screeners. You will see that I am looking for good growth over the course of several years with momentum gaining in recent years. I want a high book value and a low PEG ratio. The trick of my screen is in the criteria of finding stocks that are all of the aforementioned yet are in the stocks that are the lowest percent off their 50 day Simple Moving Average. This final criteria is what gives me the Beat Up for NO Reason stock screener. Well, there is always a reason and that's OK because those reasons, in the stock market are short lived, for the most part. And it won't be long until there is reason to own it. Especially considering the great balance sheet they usually have.<br />
<br />
PEG Ratio [Lowest 60%]<br />
Book Value Growth (5year avg.) [Highest 20%]<br />
Earnings growth three years [Highest 40%]<br />
Earnings growth five years [Highest 20%]<br />
Percent price off 50 day SMA [Lowest 40%]<br />
Market Cap [Mid Cap]<br />
<br />
Finally, to check up on the stocks that show up, I look them up in Google Finance and on the left margin is a link to "<a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACYBX&fstype=ii&ei=XK8JVLDCOJTdqAHT-ICgDw" target="_blank">Financials</a>" (<click on that to see an example) once in this I find at the top "Annual" and select that as I want yearly reporting. The first page you see is the earnings year over year. I look for an ever increasing amount of earnings here. Quick and simple. Then I go over to "<a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACYBX&fstype=ii&ei=XK8JVLDCOJTdqAHT-ICgDw" target="_blank">Balance Sheet</a>" (<click on that to see an example) and look for the following. I'll use CYBX as an example.<br />
What I look for is the Total Assets and then scroll down and look at Total Liabilities and then scroll down and look at Total Equity. TA-TL=TE and we want that ratio to be no greater than 3:1. In other words.<br />
If a stock makes it all the way to this point, it is included in my watch list. I usually keep my watchlist updated each month as they can fall in or out of the criteria in that amount of time. There are also new stocks that qualify that I don't want to miss out on.<br />
Now, there are reasons that the price has fallen. We don't know this without further research. I will usually go the the individual stock's news and read as much as I can to find out what the reason for the price decline has been. Or maybe check to see the short sells which can give it negative reaction. But what I like about the stocks that show up on my screen, usually if they have short sellers out there trying to take advantage of it, they usually backfire because the company is strong and the shorts don't stick. This causes the those investors to cover their shorts, which in turn brings the price up. But those are details that exist that I don't pay too much attention to.<br />
Finally, I use sophisticated charts that I developed to read the direction and momentum and reversals of each stocks price. Which is very complicated so I won't get into that here. But keep in mind that the charts are what drives my decisions most of all. I don't just get into a stock because it is on my watch list. There is a more perfect timing and it is revealed in the charts.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-64269031528197195782014-08-25T21:14:00.001-04:002014-08-25T21:14:55.736-04:00CYBX is a SELL with a 4.6% lossIn spite of the fact that the balance sheets and earnings look good for CYBX the indicator just hit the SELL signal. I had heard that there may have been some current earnings worries. That may have been the source of the pricing trouble. I've learned not to hold onto hope with these stocks. We reduce the downside and optimize the upside and hopefully in the end we make a lot more than we lose. So far that has been the case.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-38247703896168823872014-08-25T11:10:00.002-04:002014-08-25T11:10:43.482-04:00ANFI up 20% since July 21 recommendationAnd of course I kick myself again. WHY DIDN'T I BUY THIS??????? Ugggh. I assure myself that this is just a trial year for my investment theories and indicators. I want a nice track record of success prior to committing 100% trust in my system. But still, missing out on 20% in a month is a hard thing to look at and see it in hindsight.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-21220764057760575092014-08-25T10:33:00.003-04:002014-08-25T10:33:38.512-04:00After a little hiatus, three new stocks are a BUY. BWLD, FNGN and ESV Just checked the earnings and debt to asset ratio and it's all GO on these stocks.<br />
First is Buffalo Wild Wings <a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=bwld&ei=Zkj7U_KbMM-MqwHJ44CYAg" target="_blank">BWLD</a> the charts just popped into the BUY signal at $147.71 I was a few days late on this one as it had actually indicated last Thursday, however, a few days lost is not so bad.<br />
Second is Financial Engines <a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=FNGN&ei=K0f7U_CfBYekqwGmooCYDA" target="_blank">FNGN</a> which I had purchased Friday but did not have time to post it. That's OK because it came down a little on Friday but is recovering VERY nice today and is a BUY at $36.62<br />
Finally we have <a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AESV&ei=jkj7U5itGJKBqwHntIEI" target="_blank">ESV</a> Ensco PLC Energy services and equipment category is a BUY at $50.00<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-57134826435203924942014-07-29T15:46:00.002-04:002014-07-29T15:46:51.292-04:00ANFI UP 16.4% in one week per our recommendation It's been going up like a rocket. Making 16.4% in one week is a dream. It was the 21st of July that the charts indicated a buy signal. One week later it has not looked back. Of course not all good things last forever. That is especially true in the stock market. Let's see where this one goes before the sell signal arrives.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-88756145373594157272014-07-24T10:51:00.000-04:002014-07-24T10:51:00.106-04:00ANFI UP 11% in just a few days.Only a few days ago, ANFI showed a BUY position. Since that point ANFI has gone up 11% and climbing today. It currently is still in the HOLD position so for now let it ride. If you are happy with a whopping 11% return in just a few days, take advantage of that and sell if you wish.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-77946962471875973332014-07-21T10:10:00.001-04:002014-07-21T10:10:52.523-04:00ANFI a BUY today at $12.80<a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AANFI&ei=FhvNU7C9EMW0qgHL7IGYDA" target="_blank">ANFI</a> Amira Nature Foods LTD has indicated a Buy point at $12.80. ANFI comes with growing earnings over the last four years. The liability to asset ratio is a little higher than I prefer. 2:1 vs 1:2. That isn't that unusual though. The natural foods industry is still in it's infancy. Young people are clamoring for healthy alternatives and probably will continue as they get older.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-90560390475472745892014-07-20T00:09:00.000-04:002014-07-20T00:09:31.696-04:00Hold your Horses! These are ready to pop any day.With the whipsaw of the market last week the indicators were not positive for any buys. I felt that the suggestions were lacking a little but still don't want to stick my neck out on the possibilities of something positive happening. The following stocks are all turning up, but unfortunately not in the "BUY" stage of their movement. BUT, very close to that if they go up a couple more days. I just wanted to get the list out if anyone wanted to do some homework early and be prepared for the buy signal. Once again, these are all stocks that have been in my variety of watch lists generated over the last month or so. Some are strong companies that have had their prices beat up for seemingly no reason. Others are from my NASDAQ GURU list which needs to be mentioned and recommended by at least three leading stock analysts.<br />
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<br />
PRIM Primoris Services Corp.<br />
FNGN Financial Engines<br />
PKG Packaging Corp. (been on the list quite a while now)<br />
ANFI Amira Nature Foods<br />
ROST Ross Stores<br />
MTOR Meritor Inc.<br />
CEL Cellcom Israel<br />
<br />
Keep an eye on these. A couple may be set to really take off as the price has bottomed to long six month support levels with big upside potential.<br />
I will follow them closely over the next week and report any that have reached the official BUY status.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-37889116380971898112014-07-08T10:53:00.000-04:002014-07-08T10:53:05.425-04:00The indicator works both ways SPWR down 8.6% and we are not in itI've never really wrote anything about my charts at the sell side. It's kind of over at that point and who really wants to hear about negative numbers? It is actually nice to see negative numbers when you don't own the stock because you know that it may just open up an opportunity for another chance to buy in. Sun Power is a good example. As you can see from the post several days ago, we issued a sell on SPWR at $40. Yes, it was the charts that told us to sell. We did not just "feel" it was right, it was shown in B&W, "Time to Sell". And from that announcement until today, SPWR has dropped 8.6%. <br />
I know there are those who like to make complicated hedges and options. I would love to really understand those techniques. But until then, I can only buy and sell. I think that by using the charts, we should fair pretty well taking advise for both BUY and SELL.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-91649133409714427002014-07-08T10:02:00.005-04:002014-07-08T10:02:59.885-04:00COH Coach is a BUY today at $35.26Coach <a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACOH&ei=KPm7U6r4GYK2qgHnsYHgCQ" target="_blank">COH</a> has an amazing balance sheet and earnings have increased year after year. With the downturn in the price over the last month or so, the indicator now is showing a turn up. We are cautiously advising a buy recommendation in the midst of a little correction today. The general market corrections always send little red flags up for extra care in executing a buy.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-35229058426871137862014-07-08T09:55:00.001-04:002014-07-08T09:55:30.610-04:00CVLT is a SELL at $48.26 with a loss of 1%Well, No comment. This one wasn't ready to go yet.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-66983246326377528942014-07-07T09:54:00.000-04:002014-07-07T09:54:06.711-04:00Remorsefully, SPWR is a SELL today with a 48% gainThank you Sun Power for giving us this great opportunity to reap an amazing return on investment. I have been trading this stock over the last year between 31 and 34. When it dipped to 27 and the charts said buy, I knew this was going to be good (expecting it to go to 34 or 35 again). So you can see my amazement in the fact that it took us all the way to $40 without a single sell signal.<br />
Unfortunately that time is over and hopefully we will see SPWR again in the future.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-76580244235889191552014-07-01T10:47:00.001-04:002014-07-01T10:47:20.273-04:00BAM! Total return on all recommended Stocks = 11.87% Also two new superstarsNot in my wildest dreams did I imagine the returns that this group of stocks would give us. SPWR up 49.56%, really? But it had always been one of my favorite trade stocks. But what I am more than thrilled about are the last two calls to buy ALGN and CYBX, up 9% and 8.25% respectively. The double whammy call tells me that I have found the magic bullet. And I really really need to be careful to not deceive myself or you into believing we have a fool proof system. As soon as we get arrogant, who knows what can happen. Maybe there is the perfect time frame right now that the system works. I don't know. All I know is that it is currently working like a charm. I have posted a picture below showing the total return. As well, the green numbers to the left are today's move.<br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ISk7pkSdNZg/U7LJwKIvQpI/AAAAAAAAJcE/BEVvO-0IVSU/s1600/recommended.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ISk7pkSdNZg/U7LJwKIvQpI/AAAAAAAAJcE/BEVvO-0IVSU/s1600/recommended.jpg" height="80" width="320" /></a></div>
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On another note, the remaining stocks that are still in the HOLD category, all were up today very nice as well.<br />
ARCC was up 2% which is nice for a stock that pays a dividend of 8.8% regardless. BXE was up 1.5% and SPWR was up .64%. And we can forgive Sun Power for that tiny move today when we take into account that it is up an eye watering 49.41% since it was recommended just a little over a month ago. CVLT is the only lagard dropping a slight .39%.<br />
As a whole, the recommended list has brought an average gain of 8.72%, slanted heavily by Sun Power's amazing return. <div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-61174342719267913762014-06-25T11:19:00.002-04:002014-06-25T11:19:16.873-04:00NE is a SELL with a 7.5% return in a few weeksNE has just shown itself as a SELL today at $33.27 It has gone up 7.5% since we recommended it a few weeks ago. NE remains an amazing company and has a yield of 3.9%. Keep an eye out for another opportunity to get into this one. <div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-4362697825769125212014-06-20T22:11:00.003-04:002014-06-20T22:11:53.629-04:00ALGN a BUY at $52.39<a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AALGN&ei=--ikU7j2CtTvqgG4r4DYDA" target="_blank">ALGN</a> is a BUY at $52.39 also with amazing financials. Earnings growth for four years, Equity growth for four years and extremely low debt makes this a very good prospect. The price has recently had a high of around $64 and has fallen since then. Our charts are showing it as a BUY now.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-26659024593903259312014-06-20T22:02:00.001-04:002014-06-20T22:02:59.134-04:00CYBX a BUY now at $58.55BUY <a href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACYBX&ei=zeWkU7DsKobPrQGu_4HwCA" target="_blank">CYBX</a> now at $58.55. Totally amazing balance sheet on this one. With a very high asset ratio. and no debt. Increased earnings each year for four years and increased net worth for four years. This is great as well because the price has been beat up for seemingly no reason. Precisely why it showed up on my "BeatUpForNoReason" watch list. Also see this<a href="http://www.intercooleronline.com/stocks/cyberonics-ceo-unloads-400260-in-stock-cybx/16049/" target="_blank"> link</a> that shows analysts calling for a $70 price target. It has previously traded at a high of 70 and as I would not expect it to really go there again, at $58.55 there would be quite a nice gain if it only goes into the low 60s.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-42364327563540126722014-06-20T21:49:00.001-04:002014-06-20T21:49:12.177-04:00TFM is a SELL with a whopping 12% gainIt was a great run up from the recommended $30.52 BUY. Prices can't go up forever unfortunately and now is the time to sell TFM. But in less than a month of ownership we gained what most investors would consider amazing for an entire year. Just like NOAH, I would wait for the open and if TFM is going up put a trailing stop loss (good till cancelled) on it at today's closing price of $34.19 then you have nothing to lose but the possibility to gain. If it is going down at the opening issue the sell right off and you will have close to a 12% gain total. <div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-25946579039056981672014-06-20T21:37:00.001-04:002014-06-20T21:37:31.370-04:00NOAH is a SELL with a 3.31% gainAt the close of Friday NOAH had dropped 6.28%. So sad, the gains we had were amazing. I can't believe that one drop was enough to set off the SELL signal. Fortunately enough there was still 3.31% gain on it from the recommended buy in. Also, we do not know what is going to happen Monday. By the time a sell is executed, NOAH may (or may not) have moved up. If, on the rare chance that it pops back up on the open Monday, then I would say to hold off on the sell but then watch it closely or put a trailing stop loss at todays closing price of $13.73. Then it would not be any worse if it sells but allowing the potential for a gain.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-57980349455655716602014-06-17T10:19:00.000-04:002014-06-17T10:19:52.399-04:006/17/14 Update to All recommended stocks (Screenshot) Here is the current state of our recommendations. As you can see, as a group they have done very well in the very short term that they have been in the buy/hold indication. Next to the arrow you will see the total % gain since recommendation. Disregard total G/L as it only indicates 1 share per stock that I used to get this information to show.<br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-t_kNH3y7Upc/U6BM2ShAQcI/AAAAAAAAJZg/PXZ2BeBwy-c/s1600/recommended.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-t_kNH3y7Upc/U6BM2ShAQcI/AAAAAAAAJZg/PXZ2BeBwy-c/s1600/recommended.jpg" height="114" width="320" /></a></div>
<br /><div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-68616761024504036472014-06-13T15:40:00.002-04:002014-06-13T15:40:16.712-04:00CVLT Commvault Systems moves to BUY position at $48.75From my "Beat Up for no Reason" watch list, comes CVLT. The charts are showing it a BUY today. There have been some <a href="http://www.wkrb13.com/markets/321069/commvault-systems-stock-rating-lowered-by-zacks-cvlt/" target="_blank">downgrades by Zachs</a> but if you look at the news there are also suggestions of a price target of <a href="http://tickerreport.com/banking-finance/221829/commvault-systems-given-new-58-00-price-target-at-goldman-sachs-cvlt/" target="_blank">$58 by Goldman Sachs</a>. In either case, I am only reporting the charts position. Purchase at your own risk.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-23440736153521964212014-06-13T10:43:00.001-04:002014-06-13T10:45:00.426-04:00JAZZ a SELL with a 9.75% increase since recommendationWell, JAZZ finally has come to the SELL indicator. It's been on the hold list for quite a while. It's been a good run going from $128.50 at recommendation to today's price $141.00 Thanks JAZZ for almost a 10% return in just a month or so.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-90900953476392229162014-06-12T10:05:00.000-04:002014-06-12T10:05:31.196-04:00We've got Green when everything else is Red.What a beautiful sight. I love seeing green. Red is just not good. I was looking through my watch list this morning to see if there were any pops or drops to look out for. Almost all of my lists were red today. Popped up the "Recommended" list and whoah! All Green. Nicely done.<br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7dFbOCVVPzQ/U5mzX761tAI/AAAAAAAAJZA/yidZiS3IpPA/s1600/recommended.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7dFbOCVVPzQ/U5mzX761tAI/AAAAAAAAJZA/yidZiS3IpPA/s1600/recommended.jpg" height="169" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-0tYvqNC-0RQ/U5ifZaK3SCI/AAAAAAAAJYw/LsYB9p1Ef-M/s1600/recommended.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-0tYvqNC-0RQ/U5ifZaK3SCI/AAAAAAAAJYw/LsYB9p1Ef-M/s1600/recommended.jpg" height="164" width="320" /></a></div>
With the DOW down 122, Nasdaq down 20, and S&P down 11. Decliners outnumbering the advances etc.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33951882074642532.post-47857192306453302332014-06-11T11:00:00.005-04:002014-06-11T11:00:54.544-04:00TEO reaches SELL statusTEO is now a SELL at $21.94.<div class="blogger-post-footer">Subscribe to Posts</div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17414356177434005121noreply@blogger.com0