Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Noble NE is a BUY now at 30.96

NE has a dividend of 4.12% that is a little cushion for any broad market downturns. However, NE is showing a BUY signal now. It happens to be up 2% today. Here is a good review of Broker opinions of NE. NE is a swiss company and I could not find the financials on it. It was included in my "Yield and Dividend" stock screen however.

Sun Power SPWR UP 7.75% today and fluctuating. UP 15.42% total since Recommendation.

UP a total of 15.42% since the recommendation. All of the solar power is up today and each of the power brokers have their pet company. SPWR is a favorite of quite a few. At this price it is now just at the low end of the normal trading range.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Mayday, Mayday

Mayday is just around the corner and the old adage of sell in May and go away needs to be addressed. Since 1896, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has a 1.7% annualized return for the period between May 15 and Halloween. The rest of the year the return has been 5.2% according the research team at Marketwatch.com.  So should you be pulling back as summer approaches? Not so fast. For the past 12 years, the buy and hold group has averaged 7.7% for the year and the sell in May group has had a 7.9% annual return. So at least as of the last dozen years, it has been better to own through the summer if you are trading within a taxable account. But if you are trading within a tax deferred account such as an IRA, or a non-taxed account like a ROTH, you might have a slight advantage following the old saying "sell in May and go away".

Where could you make 7.4% in just a few weeks? We did here.

Stock           Recommended BUY    Current Price      UP Today   UP total
JAZZ                       $128.25                 $145.66         5.3%            13.58%
SPWR                      $27.18                  $29.37            6.72%           8%
NOAH                      $13.29                 $14.77             5.2%            11.14%
KORS                       $91.32                 $93.20            2.78%           2%
TFM                          $36.54                 $35.15            1.15%        -3.8%
JCOM                       $49.85                 $50.21            1.31%         .72%
CEO                          $157.88              $166.08           .27%            5.2%
LOPE                        $47.47                 $46.00             .61%          -3.1%
CONN                      $33.20                 $43.87            7.65%         41.5%
ARCC  (8.8% yield)   $17.49                 $17.27           .17%          -1.26%

                                              AVERAGE TOTAL           3%            7.4%

Special note: CONN is UP 41.5% since our recommendation. Yes 41.5%!!!

MU on the run again

Micron Technology MU is making a another run up this week.  After a 12% increase the last two days, it is up 2.5% today.  With a PE of 10.2  and return on equity of 32%, the stock is still in the buy range but is up 20% since last Monday.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Michael Kors KORS is a BUY today at $91.32

Although it appears that KORS will not be a strong move. It has already been in an ascending pattern and it has not fallen in a way that makes it a strong recovery type stock. But a percent here and there is what makes the difference. And like I always say. I am not recommending the stock. It shows up on my strict screener, I watch it, and my chart says "Time to BUY"

Although I Can't specifically recommend SPWR

PLEASE take a look at SPWR. It is not on my watch list, but I do own it. It has taken a major hit with all of the solar power sector. I have a sense that it is going to bounce back big time. We have bought and sold it between 31 and 35 over the last year. Well I bought again at 31 and got caught with my pants down. I bought JUST before the big market correction and yes, I did not use my own advise and sell at the sell signal. So at 27.18 it is up a couple percent today. I think it is going to go up again to it's normal range easily.

QCOR is a SELL at $76.88 UP from our recommendation at $62.16

I hope you bought this one. You would have made at least 23.68%.  It is a SELL today but remains on my watch list.

PRLB is a SELL now at $62.88

This is a stock that had a nice 4% gain a couple weeks ago. Now has since retreated and is a sell. It does remain on my current watch list and will keep an eye on it for a buy again.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

LOPE is a BUY today at $47.47

I was a little hesitant to recommend another stock with the volatility of the market. However, I do like to report the BUYs as they are shown on the chart. LOPE is a BUY today at $45.46. It is up 1.27% today.
I've looked at the Income and the Balance sheets on this and they do check out quite nicely.
Investor's Business Daily has this to say about the stock. A buy at $49. We are getting in at a much better margin.

JCOM up 5.27% today. On my watch list BUT.......

BUT, the big question is should we buy it???? The signal says JCOM is a BUY today. However, I am one to question my decision to do so if it has already gone up so much for the day. I am giving YOU full approval to make your best decision on this one. Sometimes the signal will pop because of the pop and sometimes that pop leads to further big pops. I've seen it over and over. So I am just reporting this and if you are an investor that likes a little drama, go for it.

CHL is a SELL today with a 4.39% GAIN

It was a good run. The charts say to SELL now. 4.39% is a great gain for us that bought CHL. And we can wave goodbye to CHL as it is no longer on our watch list.

Whoah Whoah Look at NOAH!!! Up 5.42% since yesterday's Recomendation

Look out, there's going to be a flood! A flood of money flowing in, if you took our advise and bought NOAH at $13.29. It is bouncing around that gain as I report. Let's hope it sticks through the day. It's range today was 13.49 to 14.09.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Sector ETFs

What are the sector ETFs telling us today. The energy and utilities ETFs were clearly the winners today over the financial, tech, and health sciences ETFs. That indicates that the retail investor is a little more defensive minded at this time. The XLE and XLU were expected lagers as the market was up over 30% last year and now they are making a come back as investers are playing it safe. Most of the energy sector stocks and MLPs also pay a nice dividend.

Monday, April 14, 2014

Some changes to the Portfolio SELL and BUY

I have two SELLS today RKT is a clear SELL today but retains it's status on the watch list. So if you like that company, look for another buy signal in the future. BP also is a SELL today and is, as well, still on the watch list.
To replace those I have two stocks that are new and also indicating a BUY. NNA at $3.50 with a yield of 5.5%. NOAH at $13.29. There are a couple others that are indicating BUY but also a little shaky on the indicator. In other words. They have been bouncing inside the buy/sell signal. This does not sit well with me. They are clearly in the BUY area but I would hesitate to recommend them highly. JAZZ at $128.25 (Check out this article at Seeking Alpha) and MELI at $86.90. Go ahead and look at those charts and determine for yourself if you want to buy them or not. They are both in good shape as far as the balance sheet is concerned.
Again, I urge caution as a sudden dip in the broad market will take good companies down with it. Obviously we are in a very volatile period in the market. It will probably remain this way until a major correction happens.

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Watch List Update. What's New on the Radar

My GARP List:  ASMI, CHEUY, RKT, HFC, WLK, CF, DOW, TGI, CE, MAT

My Beat Up No Reason: JAZZ, CTRX, EPAM, LOPE, ACIW, FFIV, MELI, PRLB, RKT, JCOM

My Peter Lynch: OCN, PKG, NOAH, QCOR, CONN, WHR, NE, WWWW, RM, WRLD

Upgrades &
Earnings Growth: VIPS, KORS, THRM, PKG, SFUN, MPEL, NOAH, MMS, WLK, AFSI

Hi Yield: AYR, EMES, NE, GM, FIG, NNA, UOVEY, MHLD, CLMT, PBF

Look for the recurring names here (from earlier screens) which I think is important to notice when a stock stays in a screening result.  WLK PKG NOAH and from previous builds, AFSI QCOR CONN RKT DOW TGI CE ASMI PRLB GM and NE.

This is just the screens results. From here I put them in a watch list that shows up in my "Active Trader Pro" and from there, I manually select each one every day to see the charts recommendation.  In other words, just because they are on this list does not mean to just go out and buy them. This only says, "These are quality companies that would be good to own for the long haul." BUT YOU CAN STILL LOSE MONEY ON THEM! If you buy them at the wrong time. And you can make a LOT more money on them if you buy them at the right time.

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Recommended Portfolio up 7.26% in just Three Weeks.

I'm blown away. The numbers prove everything.  #1 Great balance sheets, #2 build watch lists #3 amazing charts = SUCCESS. And this is in the middle of wacky wacky stock gyrations. No one with half a brain should be playing in this stormy ocean. But I like to report good news. And 7.26% is a calming number. I am not recommending any buys right now until the dust settles on the last few days.
SYMBOL                Recommended price   Today    Percent gain   Recommendation now
SID                                    $4.18                 $4.2          +.48                Sell
ARCC                                $17.49              $17.46       -.17                Own
CONN                               $33.20              $40.18       +21.02           Own
GM  (sold)
QCOR                               $62.16              $85.16       +37                Own
CHL                                   $44.66              $47.41       +6.16            Own
BP                                      $37.51              $48.78       +2.35            Own
CEO                                 $157.88            $163.99       +3.87            Own
DDD (sold)
RKT                                  $103                 $101.87      -1.1               Own(looks to sell soon)
PRLB                                 $67.00              $69.81        +4.2              Own
TFM                                   $36.54              $36.11       -1.18             Own
                                    TOTAL AVERAGE GAIN       +7.26%

Monday, April 7, 2014

What Now? With the correction

Everyone has the jitters today. Most everyone in the market lost some value. YOU are not alone. We all participated in the risk of the market.  The charts are not emotional today. They only report the mathematics of the price movement. I will review the stocks recommended so far, the recommended price, the current price and the charts position.  We are in a very volatile period of time. Please use caution and seek your own advice before purchasing any stock. At this point, I will not advise any purchases. I doubt if there would be any clear signal to buy right now anyway.
Symbol      Recommended price    Today's price      Chart's position     Gain since Recommendation
SID                   $4.18                       $4.48                     Hold                     7.18%
ARCC               $17.49                    $17.59                    Hold                      .59%
CONN              $33.20                    $38.59                    Hold                    16.23%
GM                   $35.26                    $34.11                    Sell                       -2.85%
QCOR              $62.16                    $80.58                    Hold                     29.63%
CHL                 $44.66                    $45.96                    Hold                       2.91%
BP                    $47.51                    $48.11                    Hold                       1.26%
CEO                 $157.88                  $157.00                  Hold                       -.56%
DDD                 $59.34                    $53.08                   Sell                      -10.55%
RKT                 $103.00                  $101.85                  Soon Sell              -1.12%
PRLB               $67.00                     $64.24                  Sell                        -4.12%
TFM                $36.54                    $34.98                     Soon Sell              -4.27%
                                                                             AVERAGE TOTAL        2.86%

Proving that it is a good idea to diversify. Of course, QCOR gave a good gain that I can not take credit for. It was a buy out and the stock surged beyond any chart's prediction. None the less, a 2.86% gain overall is good when you realize that there were two very very bad down days on the market as a whole.

Our recommended QCOR SURGES up 26% today

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc,. surged 26% in pre-market after news that Mallinckrodt (MNK) will buy the drug maker for about $5.6 billion.
The very reason that I recommended YOU to buy this stock was that it had an amazing valuation. As it turns out, Mallinckrodt must have been reading my blog as they saw enough value as well, to purchase the entire company. I hope at least one of you took my advice and bought this company because it would have made you a LOT of money. YOU WOULD HAVE MADE A TOTAL OF 34.5% FROM THE TIME I RECOMMENDED IT TO BUY JUST TWO WEEKS AGO.

Thursday, April 3, 2014

The QCOR is UP 15.7% since our recommendation last week

QCOR has had a nice move along the lines of our recommendation. It is still in the OWN position of the indicator. If one had purchased upon the recommendation and made 15.7%, you of course would have full approval of selling at this level and accepting a substantial return on investment. If it was me, I'd take the money and be happy.

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Fresh Market TFM is a BUY now at $36.54

WARNING: This is what the indicator says, not me. It is up 5..8% as we speak. A little too UP to get in for me. Even though it could keep popping from here. I'd rather get into it after a pullback from this price. It may be later this afternoon or tomorrow, if it were to pull back. Now, if it pulls back, it may drag the indicator away from the BUY. If the indicator stays, then I say we are good to go in.

Tuesday, April 1, 2014

CONN up 4.5% today, Enough said. wow

Correction. QCOR up 11.8% in one week.

Recommended at $62.16 QCOR is up a whopping 11.8% to $69.47. This was a winner for sure. See, there are some winners out there. Overall if we keep our discipline we will find more of these. I would have no problem if you choose to sell now with that profit. I will let you know as soon as there is a sign for sell.

BIG Success UPdate to recomendations check this out.

SID recommended at $4.18 up 5% to $4.39. ARCC recommended at $17.49 up to $17.64 (+8.5% yield). CONN recommended at $33.20 up a WHOPPING 20% to $39.74. GM recommended at $35.26 down 1.6% to $34.7 and we expected a little of that in the recommendation. QCOR recommended at $62.16 up 7.27% to $66.68. CHL recommended at $44.66 up 2.1% to $45.60. BP recommended at $47.51 up 1.62% to $48.28. RKT recommended at $103 up 2% to $105. DDD recommended at $59.34 up .56% to $59.67. PRLB recommended at $67.00 up 1% to $67.63. Nice. My one and only big loser was CEO which I recommended at $157.88 and it is trading today at $151 down 4.36%. I'm not that good of a mathematician but I think that is an overall average of UP 3% in about a week. I'm happy with that.