Friday, September 5, 2014

How I Pick Stocks for my Watch List

I use a stock screener that I have developed for Fidelity Investments Custom Screeners. You will see that I am looking for good growth over the course of several years with momentum gaining in recent years. I want a high book value and a low PEG ratio. The trick of my screen is in the criteria of finding stocks that are all of the aforementioned yet are in the stocks that are the lowest percent off their 50 day Simple Moving Average. This final criteria is what gives me the Beat Up for NO Reason stock screener. Well, there is always a reason and that's OK because those reasons, in the stock market are short lived, for the most part. And it won't be long until there is reason to own it. Especially considering the great balance sheet they usually have.

PEG Ratio [Lowest 60%]
Book Value Growth (5year avg.) [Highest 20%]
Earnings growth three years [Highest 40%]
Earnings growth five years [Highest 20%]
Percent price off 50 day SMA [Lowest 40%]
Market Cap [Mid Cap]

Finally, to check up on the stocks that show up, I look them up in Google Finance and on the left margin is a link to "Financials" (<click on that to see an example) once in this I find at the top "Annual" and select that as I want yearly reporting. The first page you see is the earnings year over year. I look for an ever increasing amount of earnings here. Quick and simple. Then I go over to  "Balance Sheet"  (<click on that to see an example) and look for the following. I'll use CYBX as an example.
What I look for is the Total Assets and then scroll down and look at Total Liabilities and then scroll down and look at Total Equity. TA-TL=TE  and we want that ratio to be no greater than 3:1. In other words.
If a stock makes it all the way to this point, it is included in my watch list. I usually keep my watchlist updated each month as they can fall in or out of the criteria in that amount of time. There are also new stocks that qualify that I don't want to miss out on.
Now, there are reasons that the price has fallen. We don't know this without further research. I will usually go the the individual stock's news and read as much as I can to find out what the reason for the price decline has been. Or maybe check to see the short sells which can give it negative reaction. But what I like about the stocks that show up on my screen, usually if they have short sellers out there trying to take advantage of it, they usually backfire because the company is strong and the shorts don't stick. This causes the those investors to cover their shorts, which in turn brings the price up. But those are details that exist that I don't pay too much attention to.
Finally, I use sophisticated charts that I developed to read the direction and momentum and reversals of each stocks price. Which is very complicated so I won't get into that here. But keep in mind that the charts are what drives my decisions most of all. I don't just get into a stock because it is on my watch list. There is a more perfect timing and it is revealed in the charts.

Monday, August 25, 2014

CYBX is a SELL with a 4.6% loss

In spite of the fact that the balance sheets and earnings look good for CYBX the indicator just hit the SELL signal. I had heard that there may have been some current earnings worries. That may have been the source of the pricing trouble. I've learned not to hold onto hope with these stocks. We reduce the downside and optimize the upside and hopefully in the end we make a lot more than we lose. So far that has been the case.

ANFI up 20% since July 21 recommendation

And of course I kick myself again. WHY DIDN'T I BUY THIS??????? Ugggh. I assure myself that this is just a trial year for my investment theories and indicators. I want a nice track record of success prior to committing 100% trust in my system. But still, missing out on 20% in a month is a hard thing to look at and see it in hindsight.

After a little hiatus, three new stocks are a BUY. BWLD, FNGN and ESV

Just checked the earnings and debt to asset ratio and it's all GO on these stocks.
First is Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD the charts just popped into the BUY signal at $147.71 I was a few days late on this one as it had actually indicated last Thursday, however, a few days lost is not so bad.
Second is Financial Engines FNGN which I had purchased Friday but did not have time to post it. That's OK because it came down a little on Friday but is recovering VERY nice today and is a BUY at $36.62
Finally we have ESV Ensco PLC Energy services and equipment category is a BUY at $50.00

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

ANFI UP 16.4% in one week per our recommendation

It's been going up like a rocket. Making 16.4% in one week is a dream. It was the 21st of July that the charts indicated a buy signal. One week later it has not looked back. Of course not all good things last forever. That is especially true in the stock market. Let's see where this one goes before the sell signal arrives.

Thursday, July 24, 2014

ANFI UP 11% in just a few days.

Only a few days ago, ANFI showed a BUY position.  Since that point ANFI has gone up 11% and climbing today. It currently is still in the HOLD position so for now let it ride. If you are happy with a whopping 11% return in just a few days, take advantage of that and sell if you wish.

Monday, July 21, 2014

ANFI a BUY today at $12.80

ANFI Amira Nature Foods LTD has indicated a Buy point at $12.80.  ANFI comes with growing earnings over the last four years. The liability to asset ratio is a little higher than I prefer. 2:1 vs 1:2. That isn't that unusual though. The natural foods industry is still in it's infancy. Young people are clamoring for healthy alternatives and probably will continue as they get older.

Sunday, July 20, 2014

Hold your Horses! These are ready to pop any day.

With the whipsaw of the market last week the indicators were not positive for any buys.  I felt that the suggestions were lacking a little but still don't want to stick my neck out on the possibilities of something positive happening.  The following stocks are all turning up, but unfortunately not in the "BUY" stage of their movement.  BUT, very close to that if they go up a couple more days. I just wanted to get the list out if anyone wanted to do some homework early and be prepared for the buy signal.  Once again, these are all stocks that have been in my variety of watch lists generated over the last month or so. Some are strong companies that have had their prices beat up for seemingly no reason. Others are from my NASDAQ GURU list which needs to be mentioned and recommended by at least three leading stock analysts.


PRIM   Primoris Services Corp.
FNGN  Financial Engines
PKG     Packaging Corp. (been on the list quite a while now)
ANFI   Amira Nature Foods
ROST  Ross Stores
MTOR Meritor Inc.
CEL     Cellcom Israel

Keep an eye on these. A couple may be set to really take off as the price has bottomed to long six month support levels with big upside potential.
I will follow them closely over the next week and report any that have reached the official BUY status.

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

The indicator works both ways SPWR down 8.6% and we are not in it

I've never really wrote anything about my charts at the sell side. It's kind of over at that point and who really wants to hear about negative numbers? It is actually nice to see negative numbers when you don't own the stock because you know that it may just open up an opportunity for another chance to buy in.  Sun Power is a good example.  As you can see from the post several days ago, we issued a sell on SPWR at $40. Yes, it was the charts that told us to sell. We did not just "feel" it was right, it was shown in B&W, "Time to Sell". And from that announcement until today, SPWR has dropped 8.6%.
I know there are those who like to make complicated hedges and options. I would love to really understand those techniques. But until then, I can only buy and sell. I think that by using the charts, we should fair pretty well taking advise for both BUY and SELL.

COH Coach is a BUY today at $35.26

Coach COH has an amazing balance sheet and earnings have increased year after year.  With the downturn in the price over the last month or so, the indicator now is showing a turn up. We are cautiously advising a buy recommendation in the midst of a little correction today.  The general market corrections always send little red flags up for extra care in executing a buy.

CVLT is a SELL at $48.26 with a loss of 1%

Well, No comment. This one wasn't ready to go yet.

Monday, July 7, 2014

Remorsefully, SPWR is a SELL today with a 48% gain

Thank you Sun Power for giving us this great opportunity to reap an amazing return on investment. I have  been trading this stock over the last year between 31 and 34.  When it dipped to 27 and the charts said buy, I knew this was going to be good (expecting it to go to 34 or 35 again). So you can see my amazement in the fact that it took us all the way to $40 without a single sell signal.
Unfortunately that time is over and hopefully we will see SPWR again in the future.

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

BAM! Total return on all recommended Stocks = 11.87% Also two new superstars

Not in my wildest dreams did I imagine the returns that this group of stocks would give us. SPWR up 49.56%, really? But it had always been one of my favorite trade stocks. But what I am more than thrilled about are the last two calls to buy ALGN and CYBX, up 9% and 8.25% respectively. The double whammy call tells me that I have found the magic bullet. And I really really need to be careful to not deceive myself or you into believing we have a fool proof system. As soon as we get arrogant, who knows what can happen. Maybe there is the perfect time frame right now that the system works. I don't know. All I know is that it is currently working like a charm.  I have posted a picture below showing the total return. As well, the green numbers to the left are today's move.

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Our two latest stocks of recommendation UP 5.47% and 5.23% in 5 days

I was just a little bored without anything new to share but I realized that I could share the good news on our two newest recommendations, CYBX and ALGN. They both showed a BUY signal on the evening of the 20th. So in five days they moved up very nice and they are both still in the HOLD position. CYBX is up 5.47% and ALGN is up 5.23%.
On another note, the remaining stocks that are still in the HOLD category, all were up today very nice as well.
ARCC was up 2% which is nice for a stock that pays a dividend of 8.8% regardless. BXE was up 1.5% and SPWR was up .64%. And we can forgive Sun Power for that tiny move today when we take into account that it is up an eye watering 49.41% since it was recommended just a little over a month ago. CVLT is the only lagard dropping a slight .39%.
As a whole, the recommended list has brought an average gain of 8.72%, slanted heavily by Sun Power's amazing return.  

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

NE is a SELL with a 7.5% return in a few weeks

NE has just shown itself as a SELL today at $33.27 It has gone up 7.5% since we recommended it a few weeks ago. NE remains an amazing company and has a yield of 3.9%. Keep an eye out for another opportunity to get into this one.

Friday, June 20, 2014

ALGN a BUY at $52.39

ALGN is a BUY at $52.39 also with amazing financials. Earnings growth for four years, Equity growth for four years and extremely low debt makes this a very good prospect. The price has recently had a high of around $64 and has fallen since then. Our charts are showing it as a BUY now.

CYBX a BUY now at $58.55

BUY CYBX now at $58.55. Totally amazing balance sheet on this one. With a very high asset ratio. and no debt. Increased earnings each year for four years and increased net worth for four years. This is great as well because the price has been beat up for seemingly no reason. Precisely why it showed up on my "BeatUpForNoReason" watch list.  Also see this link that shows analysts calling for a $70 price target. It has previously traded at a high of 70 and as I would not expect it to really go there again, at $58.55 there would be quite a nice gain if it only goes into the low 60s.

TFM is a SELL with a whopping 12% gain

It was a great run up from the recommended $30.52 BUY. Prices can't go up forever unfortunately and now is the time to sell TFM. But in less than a month of ownership we gained what most investors would consider amazing for an entire year. Just like NOAH, I would wait for the open and if TFM is going up put a trailing stop loss (good till cancelled) on it at today's closing price of $34.19 then you have nothing to lose but the possibility to gain. If it is going down at the opening issue the sell right off and you will have close to a 12% gain total.

NOAH is a SELL with a 3.31% gain

At the close of Friday NOAH had dropped 6.28%. So sad, the gains we had were amazing. I can't believe that one drop was enough to set off the SELL signal. Fortunately enough there was still 3.31% gain on it from the recommended buy in.  Also, we do not know what is going to happen Monday. By the time a sell is executed, NOAH may (or may not) have moved up.  If, on the rare chance that it pops back up on the open Monday, then I would say to hold off on the sell but then watch it closely or put a trailing stop loss at todays closing price of $13.73. Then it would not be any worse if it sells but allowing the potential for a gain.

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

6/17/14 Update to All recommended stocks (Screenshot)

Here is the current state of our recommendations. As you can see, as a group they have done very well in the very short term that they have been in the buy/hold indication. Next to the arrow you will see the total % gain since recommendation. Disregard total G/L as it only indicates 1 share per stock that I used to get this information to show.

Friday, June 13, 2014

CVLT Commvault Systems moves to BUY position at $48.75

From my "Beat Up for no Reason" watch list, comes CVLT. The charts are showing it a BUY today. There have been some downgrades by Zachs but if you look at the news there are also suggestions of a price target of $58 by Goldman Sachs. In either case, I am only reporting the charts position. Purchase at your own risk.

JAZZ a SELL with a 9.75% increase since recommendation

Well, JAZZ finally has come to the SELL indicator. It's been on the hold list for quite a while. It's been a good run going from $128.50 at recommendation to today's price $141.00 Thanks JAZZ for almost a 10% return in just a month or so.

Thursday, June 12, 2014

We've got Green when everything else is Red.

What a beautiful sight. I love seeing green. Red is just not good. I was looking through my watch list this morning to see if there were any pops or drops to look out for. Almost all of my lists were red today. Popped up the "Recommended" list and whoah! All Green. Nicely done.

Friday, June 6, 2014

TFM up 10% and TEO up 4% since our BUY signal

It looks like the TFM and TEO call was right on the money. With gains of 10% and 4% respectively these stocks are still in the OWN category. If you want to play more conservatively, you may sell them right now and pocket a fantastic gain. 
NE I think is on the verge of a SELL indication. It's tickling that area right now. Our entry point was $30.96 and it is at $30.88, a very slight loss. This stock comes with a 4.2% yield and could be hedged. My opinion is that it would not be worth doing that at this point. It would be much better to take a very small loss and look for the next good buy. Let's call NE a SELL today.
Yep, my early call on BXE was early. lol. We lost a little the last couple days. The indicator has gone a little less buy now than it was a couple days ago. The charts still look very ripe for it to move up from this point. The only caution would be if it were to catch the tailwind of a general market downward movement, it could take the wind out of it's sails going up.  The longer it takes to bite into it's movement the more risky it is to hold it. However, I am still calling this a HOLD at this point. 

Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Going out on a limb here. BXE a BUY at $8.86

The BUY indicator is not quite in the pop "DO IT" position yet. However, this stock Bellatrix Exploration is quite amazing, growing profits by leaps and bounds. The Income growth is great and the liability to asset ratio is in a very good position. I am going to go out on the limb and say it's a buy today. Let's hope the general market is good the next couple days and she will be flying. It's got a ways to go to the resistance point around $10. That is 15% away from the current price. Also read this commentary on it HERE.

SPWR Sun Power up a whopping 7.5% today

On our recommended list is SPWR a favorite of mine to trade. The reason I like SPWR is that it will crash down between 30 and 31 and when the indicator says to buy, it will almost always go to 33 to 35 a share. There is some weakness in the Chinese solar companies as well as SUNE. So be very careful with SPWR as it could get sucked into their tailwinds.

KORS SELL at current $92.87

KORS is showing a sell now. Michael Kors brand is much better poised than COH Coach at this point. Keep an eye out for the next entry point. Jim Cramer really loves KORS. Not to say I place credence in everything he says, but he is outspoken enough to cause a tip in the direction he recommends. We had recommended KORS on April 21st at the price of $91.32 only a 1.7% increase. However, as you will see that it has only been a little over a month, that would be a yearly return of around 17%. Even if we can acquire small gains in short periods of time, our yearly gains are quite nice.

Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Another fantastic BUY TFM up almost 8% one day after BUY signal

TFM, The Fresh Market was recommended by the charts Monday. On Tuesday (today) that stock shot up 7.8%. Another indication that our charts are right on the money with stock movement. The other stock recommended TEO was up .82% today. This is one of the reasons I have said over and over, this is immediate advice. You can't wait a day or two to make your decision. And that also goes for the sell signal as well. I've seen it over and over with so many stocks. That first pump is usually the biggest gain of the trend. I have also been one to be quite conservative and not follow the advice of the charts when a stock goes high in one day. I am drawn to sell and take my 8% and be happy. But I am slowly realizing that most of the time, those stocks don't correct back down like I would think they should. Almost always, they continue up higher and in some cases like QCOR and CONN, much higher.

Monday, June 2, 2014

Charts says to Sell and Buy TFM and TEO

These are NOT personal opinions or recommendations, They are merely a mathematical result from specific price targets on unique trading indicators. You assume all risk when investing and are advised to seek additional information on any suggestions.

LOPE is a SELL trading at $43.74 HOWEVER. There is a strong suggestion that LOPE has room to go much higher. HERE and could be considered again when the charts suggest so.

TFM is a BUY at $30.52  (The Fresh Market) All natural foods
TEO is a BUY at $21.79  with an added bonus of 4.5% yield  (Telecom Argentina SA)

Totally New Watch List. Hot Stocks to Watch

I've finally edited my watch lists and below are the conclusions of the research. I will list the category first then the stock symbol. These are based on strict and refined stock screening criteria revealing the top stocks in the given category. Once again, These are not my official BUY recommendations. Only stocks that have showed up as great companies that are valued and in a condition worth owning even for the long term. From here we will follow them with our chart indicators and offer suggestions to BUY or SELL. They are not my recommendation to buy or sell, only the charts mathematical conclusion.

Beat Up No Reason:
SNCR      Synchrono Technologies
PSEC       Prospect Capital
FNGN     Financial Engines inc.
SIVB        SVB Financial Group
SBNY      Signature Bank
WETF       Wisdom Tree Investments
ULTA       ULTA Salon, cosmetics
MELI        Mercadolibre
CVLT        Commbault Systems
TFM         Fresh Market Inc.

Peter Lynch/ GARP:
LRCX      Lamb Research Corp
OCN       Ocwen Financial
UHC        United Insurance
QCOR      Questcor Pharma
PKG         Packaging Corp
ANFI        Amira Nature Foods
TX            Ternium SA
NOAH      NOAH Holdings (chinese)

Hi Market Cap, Total Return, EPS Growth:
GTAT       GT Advanced Tech
GSAT       Globalstar
DRYS       Dryships Inc
RMBS       Rambus Inc.
MTOR       Meritor Inc
FOE          Ferro Corp.
AA            Alcoa
BXE          Bellatrix Exploration
CEL         Cellcom Isreal

Top 20% Next Year:
NPSP      NPS Pharma
DYN       Dynegy
JOE         St. Joe Co.
PES         Pioneer Energy
SUMR     Summer Infant
TSEM      Tower Semi.
ATHL      Athlon Energy

NASDAQ Gurus:
ANIK
COH
LQDT
NCI
ROSS
TEO
TJX
USNA
QCOR

Monday, May 19, 2014

What now? Caution, is the word

You may have noticed it a little quiet around here lately. There is a reason that the recommendations have slowed down. We have good companies on the radar, that is not the problem. Investors over simplify the cycles of the market. We could say there are two cycles, up and down. And for the very long term investor who looks at multi year engagements with their stock ownership, this may be true. For long-mid term investors There is an up and a down but also volatile periods at the top and bottom of the long term ups and downs. As we get closer to a bottom or top of a cycle, the market has a hard time deciding what it wants to commit to. So there is a battle waged between the longs and the shorts. The BUYS and the SELLS. For the most part, I don't mind investing in such an environment. Our charts are designed to give pretty good advice on the in and out strategy for even a volatile period of the market. Let me correct that statement. The charts are pretty good at showing good decisions for the "First two thirds" of the top or bottom, volatile period.
Here we find a third cycle I like to call "No man's Land". As the market gets closer to the slippery slope down, the volatility gets greater and greater. The peaks and valleys get narrower and narrower. I do not want to risk money during this period of the cycle. Yes, you could make some money but do you realize how close you are to the edge of correction? I see the market cycle from an IN perspective. So the cycle goes like this; Yes (market going up) Maybe (early volatility) No (late volatility) Yes (in short ETF's such as SQQQ) Maybe (early volatility, after a correction and switching from SQQQ to owning) and Yes (during the volatile end of a bear)  Yes, I actually do like to be "All In" during that wash at the bottom. I've already saved so much of my worth by being out of the market during a correction that I have money banked and it is much less loss to get in at a "near" bottom than to have been in it all together during the total drop.
I believe there are some falsifications that are propping up this market. Whether it is the Fed pumping cash into the system or political monitoring or whether it be big banks manipulating the markets. This is a bull that is long overdue for a sizable correction. I don't want to be in right now. It's simple to see that a normal, long term return for a year in equities is around 8%. We have already made that with good prudent and concentrated trade decisions. Even if I have to wait a full year for the correction to happen, I feel that I have made my annual quota already.  Why risk losing 15 to 25 percent? I am currently dollar cost averaging into SQQQ which shorts the NASDAQ. I don't know where the top is but I know that we are near it. On some days SQQQ goes down a percent and other days it goes up the same. As I average in my purchases, I am smoothing out the guess work of "when". After the market has a sizable correction I can almost guarantee that it will bottom well below today's values.
Just a word to the wise. After this correction, be very wary of the next big move up. I will probably get sucked into it as usual. But this time I have charts to help me make the decisions. That first leg up must be monitored day by day if not hour by hour. Usually after a correction that first leg up will also correct back down and we want again, to be out of the market. And what we want to pay attention to is the support from the previous bottom. If the second decline does not reach prior lows, we may be climbing out of the bottom. But pay attention that if the second leg down breaks through the prior lows, there may be a deeper correction than what was anticipated. That is why, if you get in on the first leg up, you are facing risk again. I'm not saying to not get in at all. I'm only saying watch it and get out according to the charts. Or at the very least, when you are down a total of 5% on any given stock.

Monday, May 5, 2014

Indicators pointing to SELL CONN, TFM, CEO, JCOM

The rocky up and down has made it tough to decide to stay in or go out of a few of the stocks on the list. However, as usual I am only going to reveal what the buy/sell indicator shows. It has proven to be right in the long haul. The following are all SELL now.
STOCK           Recommended price              Sell Price            Gain/Loss
CONN                    $33.20                               $43.60               +31.33%
TFM                        $36.54                               $36.14               -1.1%
CEO                      $157.88                             $163.23               +3.39%
JCOM                     $49.85                               $45.88                -7.96%

On today's trades the average gain is up 6.415%

As a note to why we would sell when the indicator says to do so when the stock has barely moved or gone down a little. TFM is a good example. I have noticed that when the indicator shows a sell, it is good to do so when looking at the long term horizon. The price usually falls even more and the losses would be more to hold and wait for the correction. So we want to get out asap and when the change occurs then we will have another chance to own it at a better place in the stocks movement.

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Noble NE is a BUY now at 30.96

NE has a dividend of 4.12% that is a little cushion for any broad market downturns. However, NE is showing a BUY signal now. It happens to be up 2% today. Here is a good review of Broker opinions of NE. NE is a swiss company and I could not find the financials on it. It was included in my "Yield and Dividend" stock screen however.

Sun Power SPWR UP 7.75% today and fluctuating. UP 15.42% total since Recommendation.

UP a total of 15.42% since the recommendation. All of the solar power is up today and each of the power brokers have their pet company. SPWR is a favorite of quite a few. At this price it is now just at the low end of the normal trading range.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Mayday, Mayday

Mayday is just around the corner and the old adage of sell in May and go away needs to be addressed. Since 1896, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has a 1.7% annualized return for the period between May 15 and Halloween. The rest of the year the return has been 5.2% according the research team at Marketwatch.com.  So should you be pulling back as summer approaches? Not so fast. For the past 12 years, the buy and hold group has averaged 7.7% for the year and the sell in May group has had a 7.9% annual return. So at least as of the last dozen years, it has been better to own through the summer if you are trading within a taxable account. But if you are trading within a tax deferred account such as an IRA, or a non-taxed account like a ROTH, you might have a slight advantage following the old saying "sell in May and go away".

Where could you make 7.4% in just a few weeks? We did here.

Stock           Recommended BUY    Current Price      UP Today   UP total
JAZZ                       $128.25                 $145.66         5.3%            13.58%
SPWR                      $27.18                  $29.37            6.72%           8%
NOAH                      $13.29                 $14.77             5.2%            11.14%
KORS                       $91.32                 $93.20            2.78%           2%
TFM                          $36.54                 $35.15            1.15%        -3.8%
JCOM                       $49.85                 $50.21            1.31%         .72%
CEO                          $157.88              $166.08           .27%            5.2%
LOPE                        $47.47                 $46.00             .61%          -3.1%
CONN                      $33.20                 $43.87            7.65%         41.5%
ARCC  (8.8% yield)   $17.49                 $17.27           .17%          -1.26%

                                              AVERAGE TOTAL           3%            7.4%

Special note: CONN is UP 41.5% since our recommendation. Yes 41.5%!!!

MU on the run again

Micron Technology MU is making a another run up this week.  After a 12% increase the last two days, it is up 2.5% today.  With a PE of 10.2  and return on equity of 32%, the stock is still in the buy range but is up 20% since last Monday.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Michael Kors KORS is a BUY today at $91.32

Although it appears that KORS will not be a strong move. It has already been in an ascending pattern and it has not fallen in a way that makes it a strong recovery type stock. But a percent here and there is what makes the difference. And like I always say. I am not recommending the stock. It shows up on my strict screener, I watch it, and my chart says "Time to BUY"

Although I Can't specifically recommend SPWR

PLEASE take a look at SPWR. It is not on my watch list, but I do own it. It has taken a major hit with all of the solar power sector. I have a sense that it is going to bounce back big time. We have bought and sold it between 31 and 35 over the last year. Well I bought again at 31 and got caught with my pants down. I bought JUST before the big market correction and yes, I did not use my own advise and sell at the sell signal. So at 27.18 it is up a couple percent today. I think it is going to go up again to it's normal range easily.

QCOR is a SELL at $76.88 UP from our recommendation at $62.16

I hope you bought this one. You would have made at least 23.68%.  It is a SELL today but remains on my watch list.

PRLB is a SELL now at $62.88

This is a stock that had a nice 4% gain a couple weeks ago. Now has since retreated and is a sell. It does remain on my current watch list and will keep an eye on it for a buy again.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

LOPE is a BUY today at $47.47

I was a little hesitant to recommend another stock with the volatility of the market. However, I do like to report the BUYs as they are shown on the chart. LOPE is a BUY today at $45.46. It is up 1.27% today.
I've looked at the Income and the Balance sheets on this and they do check out quite nicely.
Investor's Business Daily has this to say about the stock. A buy at $49. We are getting in at a much better margin.

JCOM up 5.27% today. On my watch list BUT.......

BUT, the big question is should we buy it???? The signal says JCOM is a BUY today. However, I am one to question my decision to do so if it has already gone up so much for the day. I am giving YOU full approval to make your best decision on this one. Sometimes the signal will pop because of the pop and sometimes that pop leads to further big pops. I've seen it over and over. So I am just reporting this and if you are an investor that likes a little drama, go for it.

CHL is a SELL today with a 4.39% GAIN

It was a good run. The charts say to SELL now. 4.39% is a great gain for us that bought CHL. And we can wave goodbye to CHL as it is no longer on our watch list.

Whoah Whoah Look at NOAH!!! Up 5.42% since yesterday's Recomendation

Look out, there's going to be a flood! A flood of money flowing in, if you took our advise and bought NOAH at $13.29. It is bouncing around that gain as I report. Let's hope it sticks through the day. It's range today was 13.49 to 14.09.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Sector ETFs

What are the sector ETFs telling us today. The energy and utilities ETFs were clearly the winners today over the financial, tech, and health sciences ETFs. That indicates that the retail investor is a little more defensive minded at this time. The XLE and XLU were expected lagers as the market was up over 30% last year and now they are making a come back as investers are playing it safe. Most of the energy sector stocks and MLPs also pay a nice dividend.

Monday, April 14, 2014

Some changes to the Portfolio SELL and BUY

I have two SELLS today RKT is a clear SELL today but retains it's status on the watch list. So if you like that company, look for another buy signal in the future. BP also is a SELL today and is, as well, still on the watch list.
To replace those I have two stocks that are new and also indicating a BUY. NNA at $3.50 with a yield of 5.5%. NOAH at $13.29. There are a couple others that are indicating BUY but also a little shaky on the indicator. In other words. They have been bouncing inside the buy/sell signal. This does not sit well with me. They are clearly in the BUY area but I would hesitate to recommend them highly. JAZZ at $128.25 (Check out this article at Seeking Alpha) and MELI at $86.90. Go ahead and look at those charts and determine for yourself if you want to buy them or not. They are both in good shape as far as the balance sheet is concerned.
Again, I urge caution as a sudden dip in the broad market will take good companies down with it. Obviously we are in a very volatile period in the market. It will probably remain this way until a major correction happens.

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Watch List Update. What's New on the Radar

My GARP List:  ASMI, CHEUY, RKT, HFC, WLK, CF, DOW, TGI, CE, MAT

My Beat Up No Reason: JAZZ, CTRX, EPAM, LOPE, ACIW, FFIV, MELI, PRLB, RKT, JCOM

My Peter Lynch: OCN, PKG, NOAH, QCOR, CONN, WHR, NE, WWWW, RM, WRLD

Upgrades &
Earnings Growth: VIPS, KORS, THRM, PKG, SFUN, MPEL, NOAH, MMS, WLK, AFSI

Hi Yield: AYR, EMES, NE, GM, FIG, NNA, UOVEY, MHLD, CLMT, PBF

Look for the recurring names here (from earlier screens) which I think is important to notice when a stock stays in a screening result.  WLK PKG NOAH and from previous builds, AFSI QCOR CONN RKT DOW TGI CE ASMI PRLB GM and NE.

This is just the screens results. From here I put them in a watch list that shows up in my "Active Trader Pro" and from there, I manually select each one every day to see the charts recommendation.  In other words, just because they are on this list does not mean to just go out and buy them. This only says, "These are quality companies that would be good to own for the long haul." BUT YOU CAN STILL LOSE MONEY ON THEM! If you buy them at the wrong time. And you can make a LOT more money on them if you buy them at the right time.

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Recommended Portfolio up 7.26% in just Three Weeks.

I'm blown away. The numbers prove everything.  #1 Great balance sheets, #2 build watch lists #3 amazing charts = SUCCESS. And this is in the middle of wacky wacky stock gyrations. No one with half a brain should be playing in this stormy ocean. But I like to report good news. And 7.26% is a calming number. I am not recommending any buys right now until the dust settles on the last few days.
SYMBOL                Recommended price   Today    Percent gain   Recommendation now
SID                                    $4.18                 $4.2          +.48                Sell
ARCC                                $17.49              $17.46       -.17                Own
CONN                               $33.20              $40.18       +21.02           Own
GM  (sold)
QCOR                               $62.16              $85.16       +37                Own
CHL                                   $44.66              $47.41       +6.16            Own
BP                                      $37.51              $48.78       +2.35            Own
CEO                                 $157.88            $163.99       +3.87            Own
DDD (sold)
RKT                                  $103                 $101.87      -1.1               Own(looks to sell soon)
PRLB                                 $67.00              $69.81        +4.2              Own
TFM                                   $36.54              $36.11       -1.18             Own
                                    TOTAL AVERAGE GAIN       +7.26%

Monday, April 7, 2014

What Now? With the correction

Everyone has the jitters today. Most everyone in the market lost some value. YOU are not alone. We all participated in the risk of the market.  The charts are not emotional today. They only report the mathematics of the price movement. I will review the stocks recommended so far, the recommended price, the current price and the charts position.  We are in a very volatile period of time. Please use caution and seek your own advice before purchasing any stock. At this point, I will not advise any purchases. I doubt if there would be any clear signal to buy right now anyway.
Symbol      Recommended price    Today's price      Chart's position     Gain since Recommendation
SID                   $4.18                       $4.48                     Hold                     7.18%
ARCC               $17.49                    $17.59                    Hold                      .59%
CONN              $33.20                    $38.59                    Hold                    16.23%
GM                   $35.26                    $34.11                    Sell                       -2.85%
QCOR              $62.16                    $80.58                    Hold                     29.63%
CHL                 $44.66                    $45.96                    Hold                       2.91%
BP                    $47.51                    $48.11                    Hold                       1.26%
CEO                 $157.88                  $157.00                  Hold                       -.56%
DDD                 $59.34                    $53.08                   Sell                      -10.55%
RKT                 $103.00                  $101.85                  Soon Sell              -1.12%
PRLB               $67.00                     $64.24                  Sell                        -4.12%
TFM                $36.54                    $34.98                     Soon Sell              -4.27%
                                                                             AVERAGE TOTAL        2.86%

Proving that it is a good idea to diversify. Of course, QCOR gave a good gain that I can not take credit for. It was a buy out and the stock surged beyond any chart's prediction. None the less, a 2.86% gain overall is good when you realize that there were two very very bad down days on the market as a whole.

Our recommended QCOR SURGES up 26% today

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc,. surged 26% in pre-market after news that Mallinckrodt (MNK) will buy the drug maker for about $5.6 billion.
The very reason that I recommended YOU to buy this stock was that it had an amazing valuation. As it turns out, Mallinckrodt must have been reading my blog as they saw enough value as well, to purchase the entire company. I hope at least one of you took my advice and bought this company because it would have made you a LOT of money. YOU WOULD HAVE MADE A TOTAL OF 34.5% FROM THE TIME I RECOMMENDED IT TO BUY JUST TWO WEEKS AGO.

Thursday, April 3, 2014

The QCOR is UP 15.7% since our recommendation last week

QCOR has had a nice move along the lines of our recommendation. It is still in the OWN position of the indicator. If one had purchased upon the recommendation and made 15.7%, you of course would have full approval of selling at this level and accepting a substantial return on investment. If it was me, I'd take the money and be happy.

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Fresh Market TFM is a BUY now at $36.54

WARNING: This is what the indicator says, not me. It is up 5..8% as we speak. A little too UP to get in for me. Even though it could keep popping from here. I'd rather get into it after a pullback from this price. It may be later this afternoon or tomorrow, if it were to pull back. Now, if it pulls back, it may drag the indicator away from the BUY. If the indicator stays, then I say we are good to go in.

Tuesday, April 1, 2014

CONN up 4.5% today, Enough said. wow

Correction. QCOR up 11.8% in one week.

Recommended at $62.16 QCOR is up a whopping 11.8% to $69.47. This was a winner for sure. See, there are some winners out there. Overall if we keep our discipline we will find more of these. I would have no problem if you choose to sell now with that profit. I will let you know as soon as there is a sign for sell.

BIG Success UPdate to recomendations check this out.

SID recommended at $4.18 up 5% to $4.39. ARCC recommended at $17.49 up to $17.64 (+8.5% yield). CONN recommended at $33.20 up a WHOPPING 20% to $39.74. GM recommended at $35.26 down 1.6% to $34.7 and we expected a little of that in the recommendation. QCOR recommended at $62.16 up 7.27% to $66.68. CHL recommended at $44.66 up 2.1% to $45.60. BP recommended at $47.51 up 1.62% to $48.28. RKT recommended at $103 up 2% to $105. DDD recommended at $59.34 up .56% to $59.67. PRLB recommended at $67.00 up 1% to $67.63. Nice. My one and only big loser was CEO which I recommended at $157.88 and it is trading today at $151 down 4.36%. I'm not that good of a mathematician but I think that is an overall average of UP 3% in about a week. I'm happy with that.

Friday, March 28, 2014

PRLB a BUY at $67.00

PRLB is one of the stocks that showed up on my new screen.  I checked out the financials and they look pretty good. Progressively better earnings, fantastic debt to asset ratio. The price has dropped considerably and is recovering into a BUY category right now at $67.00 it was up 1.38% today. Once again, please scroll down and read my disclaimer that is important to understand in this market's climate.
Also read and watch the video on  Motley Fool's article on PRLB he really likes it too. This was published late February, and the stock has come down from $80 when the article was written. So just think of it this way. If you would have bought with their remarkable recommendation then, you would have made a good long term investment. However, since you may just be hearing about it now, you gain an extra $13 on your investment. Yay, free money. Now is the time to BUY. 

What do you think of this new stock screen idea?

I just came up with a new stock screen. Top % earnings last three years and last five years. Mid cap. 1 Billion to 13 Billion. Low PEG ratio. Highest 20% book value. And finally lowest 40% from 50 day moving average. I call it "BeatUpNoReason". Well, there is always a reason. However if the earnings growth is improving each year and the debt to Asset ratio is low I think that it is worth a second look.
   The stocks that ended up in the list are: XPO, FNSR, TFM, PRLB, LL, RKT, ACIW, SBNY, MIDD, FFIV, CTRX, QCOR, HTWR, VRTS and EPAM.  A couple of those. FNSR, RKT, and QCOR I think are worth looking at in particular because they also ended up on some of my other screens. In particular RKT. I will keep you posted on the results and report when they hit the BUY signal. And most of these are ripe for that because of the last criteria "Lowest 40% from 50 day moving average" That means the stock will be down.
      This list is going to change fast because of that last criteria as well. I will update my watch list as that happens and some of these will still be on and some will drop off. It's going to take some time to keep up with this one as it will be changing so much. But I expect to keep it for three weeks to a month. I have to see the charts for a while to get an idea of how long to keep them on the list.

RKT soon to be a BUY at $103.00

Well, it's Friday and I will be away from my computer on Monday. As of now, if we get another up day on Monday or Tuesday, RKT looks like it will hit the BUY indicator. It's almost there now and anxious investors may get in. I've done that before, because you can see the trajectory of the movement and assume a continuation. Well, I have been burnt before. I've had them reverse just before they hit the buy signal. I vowed I would learn my lesson and wait until it is an absolute buy. I'm only saying this because it is getting close and to keep an eye out for a good move up. RKT is at $103.00 today up 1.16%
RKT is one of the largest makers of boxes. Everything comes in boxes. Whether it is bought at a brick and mortar building or online. Actually more if online because of the shipping as well. And we all know where commerce is going. I'm not 100% happy with the revenue growth and the dept to asset ratio is more than 50%. However, this stock keeps showing up in random stock screens that I use. It is usually floating around in the top 10% of several different stock screens which tells me there is something to look at here.

HCI is a SELL today at $35.98

Even though we did not get a pop on HCI from the buy recommendation, we must be disciplined to follow the chart's recommendation to sell. We want to reduce our chances of loosing more money and accept the fact that it may cost us a small amount to get out now.  Even though it indicates SELL, there will be another chance to buy it again. There always is. It is still a good company. It is still worth owning, when the time is right. HCI is at $35.98 today and indicating a SELL. Since this is my first SELL recommendation, I wanted to say that yes, we will be getting into and out of stocks on a regular basis. I've seen many many many charts confirm that with this discipline, we will lose a little hear and there but gain a lot here and there with the right buy signal. And it has proved to me that the gains then will be substantially greater than the losses.

Do you like 3D printing? DDD now a BUY

A good friend of mine was talking to me about these investment ideas and mentioned an interest in getting into the 3D printing boom. I am saying that, not to say there WILL be a boom but as he put it, wouldn't it have been nice to get in the ground floor of Apple or Google or "fill in the blank" with industries that have had amazing growth and impact on our daily life. 3D printing could be that industry now. So I looked up his favorite company to advise him on what the fundamentals and charts were saying now. BOOM! I was shocked. This was not on one of my stock screens nor watch lists. But I was surprised at the great balance sheet and then looking at the charts, I told him, Mark, it is BUY NOW! So I mentioned that I would include it in my blog as a recommendation for those of you who would like to get into something that may take off. Please keep in mind and read again my disclaimer posted below, what my feelings of investing now is.
DDD is currently trading at $59.34 up 1.33% today and it was up 2% yesterday, but still just into the BUY indication.

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Sorry about that I missed CEO's buy signal a couple days ago

I've got a lot of stocks on the radar and CEO is one of those that I had not checked recently. Well the indicator shows that it was a buy a couple days ago. And it is up today, so I'm sorry about missing that good start to a move higher. It's a very pricey stock at $157.88 today but percents are percents. It doesn't matter what the price is. The balance sheet is good and it's got a nice 4.26% yield kicker to boot. There may be more room for upward movement, but act quickly if you want to take advantage of that. Maybe a dip today later would be good to get in.

BP showing a BUY today at $47.51

BP is a BUY today at $47.51 Seeking Alpha  has a good article to back me up. Once again please read my disclaimer prior to purchase. This is a very strong buy since the stock has been beat up so much lately.

CHL China Mobile Reaches BUY status at $44.66

If you are interested in an overseas stock that may not react the same as domestic here is a nice buy today. CHL is officially a BUY today coming off a long streak down for the year. In addition the 5% yield will help weather the investment if does tapper off some. It is one of my NASDAQ GURU picks. Comes with a lot of support from successful stock pickers.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

MAJOR DISCLAIMER

The market is overall very pricey.  This means making money in this environment is not going to be so easy.  There are always entry points to individual stocks that have shown dips and climbs and lows and highs. All we are interested here is finding good solid companies, perhaps a nice yield, and a price that is indicting higher to buy or indicating lower to sell. When the general market is in an overall growth phase, buying on the dips usually always guarantees a further up potential. When the market is either at the general top or general bottom of a major move, prices will swing up and down on a near term basis. You can still make a few percent on your money within a week or two. I try to do that. But I am and suggest you should as well, be very mindful of the general market's high price. Once we are in a stock, I watch it very closely. Of course I've gotten in on a perceived good price. THAT good price on THAT individual stock isn't going to matter if the general market decides it's time for a major decline. That will take a high percent of the entire market with it. Once we are in a major decline I will not be purchasing any stocks. I will wait until there is a noticeable bottom and then start to get back in cautiously.  If I have purchased stocks with a good yield and happen to get caught in the down draft, I will have the yield to protect me from the fall of the stock. I prefer not to do that as giving up 10% on the price would still be a loss even though the yield is 8%. Not to mention that I would have to own that stock for an entire year to get that 8%. It is still a safety net and if there are good buys and good yields, I'll still consider that stock.  

What is your stock's BUY/SELL status? Want to find out?

If you have a stock that you would like to know the status of, for a limited time I will give you recommendations based on the research that I have available to me. Post a comment here and I will do my best to advise a BUY or SELL or HOLD. Keep in mind this is not long term investing this is "Near term" investing. Not as insane as day trading but looking for and finding great companies whose price has become a buy status, or if held, a SELL status. This may happen a few times a month. So it is not as volatile as day trading but it also is not a buy and hold strategy.

WATCH nearly a BUY of QCOR currently $62.16

QCOR is at $62.16 and climbing today. It is showing as a BUY today. However keep in mind that it has also oscillated back to overbought the last couple days. That is nothing to worry about. Just keep in mind that the clear absolute BUY is just a notch away from today's price. In order for that absolute BUY to happen though, the price needs to climb further up. So if you don't mind a little risk, look for a small dip today or buy towards the end of the day when the price may take a breather. It is up 2% today and may give some of that back up later. QCOR had a high of around $80 just a month ago to put this into perspective. It was also screened using my Peter Lynch guidelines suggesting that it is also fundamentally a good company.

HCI is now an official BUY at 37.41

Yes, I may have jumped the gun a little on the first recommendation on March 20th. However it is up marginally since the then price of $37.16.  The indicator has officially reached the buy trigger and is now officially a buy. Once again, keep in mind that in order to invest this way, you must assume the risk of any day to day downturns or, in this stage of the game a major market correction. Barring those two things, HCI should climb from today at $37.41.

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Watch out for GM A Buy with a Warning

With the recent ignition problems in the news GM has taken a good hit. It is showing a fantastic time to get in at, now at $35.26. I owned it for a short time frame last week, made a couple percent and got cold feet and got out. The news was just too scary then. But GM has been haunting me to get back in. I am still reluctant until these law suits have a clear definition. If you would like to ignore the chance that they will significantly effect the price, there is a nice buy signal right now. GM pays a yield of 3.44% which is OK. Not a deal breaker that would be used to overcome any downside risk.  It is up 1% today and looks to go higher barring any lethal news on the ignition problem. I will be getting back in when the suits are defined and if the price is still as attractive as it has been this last week. Google Finance for GM

Suggestion to Buy CONN

Here is a very beat up stock that could be poised to go up in value soon. CONN is currently trading at $33.20 up 2.22% today. It has been on my watch list for about a week and it has been in the buy status for the last three days. Today's move indicates that signal was correct. There was a drop in the price mid February due to missed earnings report. However, as stocks go, time forgets most news. The company looks very solid and the balance sheet is good and the earnings are increasing year over year. This stock does not pay a yield. It is currently a buy today. Please return to this post for updates on the movement as well as the sell recommendation. Good luck. Google Finance for CONN

Suggestion to Buy ARCC

This is the perfect time to get into ARCC which is currently trading at $17.49 up .75% today. It is a stock that travels with some ups and downs. It is currently in a down trough and indicates a good buy today. ARCC has an amazing balance sheet and another great benefit, a 8.76% yield. You will need to hold onto it for a year to reap the full yield and it is a good stock to hold if we experience a major correction in the overall market. It is a buy today, so if you want to take the plunge, you will stand to benefit with this next move up. With high yield stocks there will not be the panache to sell with the sell signal. I will still indicate a sell for those who wish to know the timing of that. It will be your choice to go in and out with these calls or buy and hold for the yield.

Suggestion to Buy SID

I am suggesting a buy on SID currently trading at $4.18 up .72% for the day. SID was a buy two days ago and remains a buy today. It is in a 6 month dip and should be in a good position to rebound from here. In addition to the stock price movement there is also another added bonus to SID. It currently offers a 7.62% yield. You will only benefit from this yield if you hold the stock for a year. In a lot of ways a yield will help reduce the pain you feel if the price goes down short or mid term. As long as the company is solvent you will receive the yield that it is providing. SID is a small company and once again please refer to this link for your own research and final decision to purchase. SID on Google FinanceAlso, you will need to return back regularly to check for a sell recommendation. Good luck

Today's Stock Buy HCI Group (HCI)

I would like to suggest you look into HCI as a buy today. I have been watching it closely the last couple days and it is indicting higher. I will also like to say that it is in a 6 month dip that could be a good price to rebound from. The current price, as I write this is $37.16 down about 2% for the day. This is giving an even better price to get in at. It did spike up 4% in one day two days ago and I was quite disappointed that I had not gotten into it prior to that. So, I've just been watching patiently for another opportunity. There may be one or two more downturns before it rises.  HCI also has a great balance sheet and it comes highly regarded by top stock guru's screening process. Here is a link to Google finance where you may research the balance sheet yourself.  Google Finance for HCI
If you take my recommendation to purchase HCI you MUST return back on a daily basis and look for a recommendation to sell. The market is very frothy since we are at the very top of a 5 year Bull run.
Good Luck